Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 127.719777 149.468875 175.770999 210.559800 256.382110 3.162417e+02 403.208221
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 101.346447 127.388043 162.618545 215.983215 299.321659 4.340697e+02 694.646079
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 86.097913 112.923975 151.806554 216.194562 329.759545 5.474040e+02 1097.384318
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 72.814594 97.925736 135.863447 202.300892 329.347400 6.045929e+02 1472.968696
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 66.812129 92.317993 132.645887 207.903241 366.400926 7.686937e+02 2543.467069
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 60.297632 84.830639 124.830552 202.855056 379.177054 8.863277e+02 3963.113363
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 56.292432 80.712269 121.853324 206.090184 412.401458 1.104820e+03 7982.043758
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 51.615374 74.902649 114.968582 199.656780 418.767341 1.242371e+03 14383.457858
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 51.948940 77.460513 123.511675 228.428832 539.490860 2.144492e+03 548642.496337
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 52.333918 80.118229 132.712086 262.191011 709.349741 4.280842e+03 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 49.139787 75.961987 127.642797 258.725417 740.541122 5.508305e+03 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 47.247633 74.003843 126.821797 266.478057 828.550083 8.843598e+03 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 44.405808 70.726741 124.331669 274.088174 958.793065 2.023601e+04 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 41.733441 67.567026 121.829822 282.195499 1125.940855 8.215014e+04 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 38.997097 63.898732 117.415390 282.506354 1256.925131 1.031106e+06 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 35.545562 58.420280 107.868252 262.108544 1201.102920 6.155890e+06 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 33.954443 56.528558 106.556647 270.303052 1418.067042 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 31.825790 53.308618 101.486836 262.917264 1479.918411 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 30.452237 51.520624 99.705273 267.646575 1708.795357 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 28.651741 48.669000 94.812796 258.255460 1741.286724 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 28.882097 50.158618 101.419955 300.675981 2892.733740 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 29.096712 51.640617 108.407381 351.803140 5456.705758 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 27.744865 49.464933 104.669293 346.489522 6082.516030 NaN NaN